7 top housing trends for 2013
http://realestate.msn.com/the-7-top-housing-trends-for-2013#1
“In
2012 we saw the housing market recover and, going into 2013, we
expected continuing recovery,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the
National Association of Realtors. “Instead, the recovery accelerated a
lot faster than we anticipated, which was great for sellers and for the
75 million homeowners who saw their home values appreciate.”
1. Housing prices rose faster than expected
The national
median listing price was $179,900 in January 2012 and rose to $180,000
by December 2012, according to realtor.com research. The pace of price
appreciation accelerated quickly over the year to reach a median list
price of $199,500 by September 2013.
2. Mortgage rates rose but remained low
“We expected mortgage
rates to rise in 2013, and they started to increase in the late spring,
but they’re still very affordable when you look at rates on a
historical basis,” Yun said. “They just aren’t at the super-low point we
saw earlier.”
According to Freddie Mac, 30-year fixed-rate loans
were as low as 3.45 percent in December 2012 and rose to 4.49 in
September 2013. Barry Habib, co-owner and chief market strategist for
Residential Finance Corp., said mortgage rates are likely to stay low
and perhaps even drop between now and March 2014.
3. Bidding wars returned
The combination of
rising prices, low mortgage rates and low inventory led to a sense of
urgency among buyers and the return of bidding wars, said Don Frommeyer,
president of the National Association of Mortgage Brokers. According to
realtor.com research, inventory in 2012 reached a high of 2,083,710
homes on the market, then steadily declined to a low of 1,583,497 homes
in February 2013. At the end of September 2013, 2,210,000 homes were for
sale, approximately a five-month supply.
4. Housing affordability remained high
"Housing affordability
has come down a little this year because of double-digit home value
appreciation and the fact that income isn’t rising in comparable
amounts," Yun said. “Rising mortgage rates, even though they’re still
low, also have an impact. While affordability right now is at a
five-year low, it’s still the fifth highest for the past 30 years."
5. All-cash buyers continued to be a strong market segment
Yun
said a continuing surprise is that about one-third of all home
purchases were made with cash, a market share that has been consistent
for the past three years. While some of these cash buyers are from
overseas and some are institutional investors, others are “mom and pop”
investors who have had trouble getting financing. “Even some
owner-occupant buyers are cash buyers because of the excessively tight
underwriting standards for loans,” Yun said. “Some people are getting
help from relatives to buy, and then they plan to take out a home equity
loan later to repay them.”
6. Mobile apps accelerated connections between buyers, sellers and Realtors
Nearly
every Realtor and brokerage in the country introduced a mobile app this
year to make it easier for buyers and sellers to access information
from their smartphones and tablets, including
realtor.com.
“Everyone realizes that it’s inconvenient to be tied to a desktop when
you’re looking for housing-market information and homes,” Yun said.
A recent study by Google and the National Association of Realtors
found that 68 percent of homebuyers used a mobile app during their home
search and 89 percent used a mobile search engine at the onset of the
home-buying process and
7. Rising rents and pent-up demand pulled more first-time buyers into the market
“Right
now we’re seeing replenishment of renters who want to buy homes,” Habib
said. “At the peak in 2002, nearly 70 percent of people owned homes and
30 percent were renters; now 65 percent of people are homeowners and 35
percent rent. Not only are rents rising faster than home prices in many
markets, but there’s pent-up demand from people who don’t want to live
at home with their parents and who want to buy a home.”
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